Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 32.464586 34.959683 37.662217 40.826552 44.455652 48.519323 53.459312
2025-05-11 28.557002 31.859402 35.660827 40.428261 46.349136 53.607366 63.426534
2025-05-18 25.986512 29.641047 34.014731 39.757254 47.299010 57.188222 71.759895
2025-05-25 24.057339 27.887680 32.605724 39.021002 47.827137 60.035700 79.424973
2025-06-01 22.580021 26.517985 31.483706 38.435726 48.347960 62.789903 87.400516
2025-06-08 21.208016 25.155571 30.224230 37.485038 48.159065 64.367138 93.738250
2025-06-15 20.783989 24.971785 30.477400 38.608813 51.072791 71.138759 110.998961
2025-06-22 19.994634 24.240386 29.915949 38.484554 52.029855 74.834458 123.640324
2025-06-29 19.144033 23.370803 29.094589 37.886925 52.134555 77.025719 133.860486
2025-07-06 18.249225 22.392087 28.056008 36.869354 51.421242 77.582560 140.520065
2025-07-13 18.043248 22.348228 28.338943 37.889902 54.237008 85.336723 168.786990
2025-07-20 17.757812 22.172952 28.411926 38.573636 56.539276 92.578738 200.580500
2025-07-27 17.354426 21.823227 28.224125 38.851184 58.205625 99.033486 236.074987
2025-08-03 16.818948 21.259907 27.684728 38.505008 58.660739 102.887659 266.232829
2025-08-10 16.257657 20.634256 27.015949 37.886397 58.507165 105.252712 293.068453
2025-08-17 15.721408 20.023800 26.340099 37.206218 58.152001 107.048536 319.953687
2025-08-24 15.253226 19.495947 25.767380 36.665033 58.019439 109.423164 354.135058
2025-08-31 14.736701 18.878712 25.028527 35.785081 57.092531 109.450602 374.970963
2025-09-07 14.677375 18.939558 25.358274 36.825124 60.361220 122.370662 521.210451
2025-09-14 14.373623 18.620003 25.064136 36.710198 61.091913 127.972481 631.937372
2025-09-21 13.996164 18.176157 24.550740 36.157199 60.771362 130.129780 717.296858
2025-09-28 13.558241 17.627944 23.848624 35.214621 59.466537 128.692577 750.690940
2025-10-05 13.519999 17.689146 24.141855 36.159955 62.686948 144.206298 1235.843104